So in four out of the last five elections, an average of June polls would have incorrectly picked the winner of the popular vote. That’s kind of a problem for anybody who is overly confident about how this election is going to turn out. —Nate Silver.
If you like political polls, charts, graphs, and projections, visit Nate Silver’s blog, FiveThirtyEight.
I'm Brent Logan and I've been here since 2004, writing about family, food, and fun. You can contact me at